SAR 66

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undefinedPredictably Irrational meets Moneyball in ESPN veteran writer and statistical analyst Keith Lawâs iconoclastic look at the numbers game of baseball, proving why some of the most trusted stats are surprisingly wrong, explaining what numbers actually work, and exploring what the rise of Big Data means for the future of the sport. For decades, statistics such as batting average, saves recorded, and p won-lost records have been used to measure individual playersâ and teamsâ potential and success. But in the past fifteen years, a revolutionary new standard of measurementâsabermetricsâhas been embraced by front offices in Major League Baseball and among fantasy baseball enthusiasts. But while sabermetrics is recognized as being smarter and more accurate, traditionalists, including journalists, fans, and managers, stubbornly believe that the "old" wayâa combination of outdated numbers and "gut" instinctâis still the best way. Baseball, they argue, should be run by people, not by numbers.? In this informative and provocative book, teh renowned ESPN analyst and senior baseball writer demolishes a centuryâs worth of accepted wisdom, making the definitive case against the long-established view. Armed with concrete examples from different eras of baseball history, logic, a little math, and lively commentary, he shows how the allegiance to these numbersâdating back to the beginning of the professional gameâis firmly rooted not in accuracy or success, but in baseballâs irrational adherence to tradition. While Law gores sacred cows, from clutch performers to RBIs to the infamous save rule, he also demystifies sabermetrics, explaining what these "new" numbers really are and why theyâre vital. He also considers the gameâs future, examining how teams are using Dataâfrom PhDs to sophisticated statistical databasesâto build future rosters; changes that will transform baseball and all of professional sports.

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Smart Baseball: The Story Behind the Old Stats That Are Ruining the Game, the New Ones That Are Running It, and the Right Way to Think About Baseball

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